The occupational hazards of tournament pool play often result in during this phase of the season-ending championships we’re often left puzzled, scrambling about for a calculator and trying to work out the complex permutations of qualification. However this evening's contest between Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime, mercifully, is simple. It's a direct elimination: the winner secures a final four matchup against Alcaraz at this year-end tournament; the loser heads out.
The German is the frontrunner for this: the third-ranked player is the more accomplished player, has claimed the title at this tournament on two prior occasions and leads their head-to-head six matches to three, winning both the games they've played on an enclosed hard court.
But … this is the surface on which Auger-Aliassime has claimed the bulk of his trophies, he is full of confidence after his impressive recovery against Ben Shelton on recently and he took out the German in the US Championships early stage in late summer. Plus, conditions are faster in Turin than at Flushing Meadows, which is even more beneficial in Auger-Aliassime's benefit.
Should Zverev be cautious, like he was against Sinner, and Auger-Aliassime takes it to the German with his powerful serves and fearless play, there is a strong chance the young Canadian – the earlier standout who was once in line ahead of the Spanish and Italian stars to take over from the legendary trio – who obtains the uncertain distinction of facing the world No 1 the next day.
Action commences: at approximately 8:30 PM in Turin, 7:30 PM in the UK.
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